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Extra info for Using Economic Indicators to Improve Investment Analysis
A negative reaction means that bond prices will fall and bond yields or interest rates will rise. When GDP growth is low or negative, it indicates sluggish economic activity or outright recession. In this case the market reaction is likely positive: Bond prices rise (and interest rates fall). In the fixed income markets, good (economic) news is bad news and bad (economic) news is good news based on the perception that robust economic growth tends to increase demand for all goods and services. When demand cannot be satisfied, prices must rise to choke off some of that demand.
C. Zero-percent financing lost its punch over time as consumers came to expect it. 5 percent in one month. Even though consumer spending on durable goods is a much smaller portion of total consumer spending than spending on nondurable goods or services, it can increase or decrease so sharply that it can cause violent swings in consumer spending patterns on a quarter-to-quarter basis. However, its impact is much smaller from year to year. Other than automobiles and light trucks, the durable goods category includes furniture, household appliances such as refrigerators and stoves, and jewelry.
These goods can include petroleum from Saudi Arabia, automobiles from Japan, and leather goods from Italy. S. economy is in recession, the drop-off in total demand for goods and services will include a decline in the demand for foreign goods, so that the decrease in domestic production is mitigated to the extent that consumers had previously bought foreign goods and services. One of the reasons cited by some economists for the mildness of the 1990–1991 recession was the fall-off in consumer demand included a decline in imported goods.